Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 87.099274 97.221696 107.567208 118.901232 130.939195 143.314919 156.970967
2024-12-29 72.187107 86.825444 102.434562 120.196392 139.730152 160.448766 183.977204
2025-01-05 63.816911 81.116949 100.137618 122.356627 147.364977 174.427677 205.715714
2025-01-12 55.478219 74.353074 95.710613 121.260597 150.611436 182.925523 220.851268
2025-01-19 47.805288 67.539479 90.505238 118.604534 151.496281 188.274592 232.016836
2025-01-26 44.850124 66.019005 91.189013 122.505116 159.666626 201.681569 252.120503
2025-02-02 41.779398 64.041647 91.070044 125.237233 166.301798 213.203776 269.988330
2025-02-09 37.256870 59.850037 87.939840 124.081505 168.126527 218.984637 281.114496
2025-02-16 33.261208 56.020852 84.992696 122.911390 169.734669 224.354800 291.635993
2025-02-23 30.615549 53.785414 83.895081 123.883191 173.811716 232.548832 305.395432
2025-03-02 27.806773 51.105374 82.048113 123.765690 176.441159 238.936430 316.968474
2025-03-09 25.684083 49.229861 81.130504 124.723832 180.315547 246.759534 330.207355
2025-03-16 22.909063 46.231096 78.596450 123.533095 181.499225 251.369566 339.703647
2025-03-23 21.357363 44.944646 78.313024 125.221893 186.269651 260.330396 354.432167
2025-03-30 20.095506 44.000089 78.428331 127.380693 191.598788 269.956443 369.961938
2025-04-06 17.939405 41.465555 76.173091 126.265785 192.663725 274.283334 379.044298
2025-04-13 15.529108 38.293520 72.834020 123.541444 191.537926 275.810269 384.651094
2025-04-20 15.145412 38.505462 74.414490 127.540379 199.151378 288.227361 403.588848
2025-04-27 14.475873 38.165103 75.141991 130.340494 205.191270 298.685471 420.148026
2025-05-04 12.870220 36.022171 73.065947 129.156065 205.931289 302.451427 428.452079
2025-05-11 11.403873 33.983872 71.041373 127.956779 206.584677 306.060571 436.529695
2025-05-18 10.537666 32.997838 70.590059 128.952814 210.139266 313.334615 449.150428
2025-05-25 9.508682 31.587349 69.399133 128.832387 212.157125 318.629419 459.299876